{
  "status": "synthetic",
  "provenance": "Independently invented package cohorts and monthly modeled economics, not company measurements.",
  "definitions": {
    "package": "Six vouchers, valid for seven days. Prices and values are invented CU, not historical offer terms.",
    "matrix": "Each price row is a separate cohort of package buyers, followed for a full validity period plus 14 days after expiry. Shares sum to 100% within a row. Repurchase means another package purchase within those 14 days.",
    "association": "Usage depth and repurchase are observed together in this example. Self-selection and other user differences can affect the relationship; using two vouchers is not established to cause repeat purchase.",
    "monthly": "Independent May\u2013September 2019 monthly aggregates. Package-purchase counts include repeat purchases and are not unique people. Matrix cohorts are separate from these monthly counts.",
    "economics": "Estimated extra GMV / platform subsidy spend. GMV means gross merchandise value; this is an explicit modeled efficiency measure, not profit ROI or a controlled causal result.",
    "evaluation": "Original work revised a buyer/non-buyer and pre/post evaluation using scoped samples and adjusted order calculations. Those changes do not by themselves establish a randomized counterfactual.",
    "status": "Pricing and product iterations are documented; later user-specific pricing/productization must be scoped separately from proposals. Period comparisons do not isolate a price effect."
  },
  "usage": [
    {
      "price_cu": 1.5,
      "vouchers_used": 0,
      "tier_buyers": 80000,
      "buyers": 9600,
      "share": 0.12,
      "repeat_buyers": 576,
      "repeat_rate": 0.06
    },
    {
      "price_cu": 1.5,
      "vouchers_used": 1,
      "tier_buyers": 80000,
      "buyers": 44800,
      "share": 0.56,
      "repeat_buyers": 5824,
      "repeat_rate": 0.13
    },
    {
      "price_cu": 1.5,
      "vouchers_used": 2,
      "tier_buyers": 80000,
      "buyers": 14400,
      "share": 0.18,
      "repeat_buyers": 3888,
      "repeat_rate": 0.27
    },
    {
      "price_cu": 1.5,
      "vouchers_used": 3,
      "tier_buyers": 80000,
      "buyers": 5600,
      "share": 0.07,
      "repeat_buyers": 1680,
      "repeat_rate": 0.3
    },
    {
      "price_cu": 1.5,
      "vouchers_used": 4,
      "tier_buyers": 80000,
      "buyers": 3200,
      "share": 0.04,
      "repeat_buyers": 1088,
      "repeat_rate": 0.34
    },
    {
      "price_cu": 1.5,
      "vouchers_used": 5,
      "tier_buyers": 80000,
      "buyers": 1600,
      "share": 0.02,
      "repeat_buyers": 608,
      "repeat_rate": 0.38
    },
    {
      "price_cu": 1.5,
      "vouchers_used": 6,
      "tier_buyers": 80000,
      "buyers": 800,
      "share": 0.01,
      "repeat_buyers": 336,
      "repeat_rate": 0.42
    },
    {
      "price_cu": 4.5,
      "vouchers_used": 0,
      "tier_buyers": 50000,
      "buyers": 4000,
      "share": 0.08,
      "repeat_buyers": 320,
      "repeat_rate": 0.08
    },
    {
      "price_cu": 4.5,
      "vouchers_used": 1,
      "tier_buyers": 50000,
      "buyers": 17000,
      "share": 0.34,
      "repeat_buyers": 3740,
      "repeat_rate": 0.22
    },
    {
      "price_cu": 4.5,
      "vouchers_used": 2,
      "tier_buyers": 50000,
      "buyers": 14000,
      "share": 0.28,
      "repeat_buyers": 5180,
      "repeat_rate": 0.37
    },
    {
      "price_cu": 4.5,
      "vouchers_used": 3,
      "tier_buyers": 50000,
      "buyers": 7000,
      "share": 0.14,
      "repeat_buyers": 2870,
      "repeat_rate": 0.41
    },
    {
      "price_cu": 4.5,
      "vouchers_used": 4,
      "tier_buyers": 50000,
      "buyers": 4000,
      "share": 0.08,
      "repeat_buyers": 1800,
      "repeat_rate": 0.45
    },
    {
      "price_cu": 4.5,
      "vouchers_used": 5,
      "tier_buyers": 50000,
      "buyers": 2500,
      "share": 0.05,
      "repeat_buyers": 1200,
      "repeat_rate": 0.48
    },
    {
      "price_cu": 4.5,
      "vouchers_used": 6,
      "tier_buyers": 50000,
      "buyers": 1500,
      "share": 0.03,
      "repeat_buyers": 780,
      "repeat_rate": 0.52
    },
    {
      "price_cu": 8.5,
      "vouchers_used": 0,
      "tier_buyers": 20000,
      "buyers": 800,
      "share": 0.04,
      "repeat_buyers": 80,
      "repeat_rate": 0.1
    },
    {
      "price_cu": 8.5,
      "vouchers_used": 1,
      "tier_buyers": 20000,
      "buyers": 3600,
      "share": 0.18,
      "repeat_buyers": 900,
      "repeat_rate": 0.25
    },
    {
      "price_cu": 8.5,
      "vouchers_used": 2,
      "tier_buyers": 20000,
      "buyers": 5600,
      "share": 0.28,
      "repeat_buyers": 2240,
      "repeat_rate": 0.4
    },
    {
      "price_cu": 8.5,
      "vouchers_used": 3,
      "tier_buyers": 20000,
      "buyers": 4000,
      "share": 0.2,
      "repeat_buyers": 1840,
      "repeat_rate": 0.46
    },
    {
      "price_cu": 8.5,
      "vouchers_used": 4,
      "tier_buyers": 20000,
      "buyers": 2800,
      "share": 0.14,
      "repeat_buyers": 1428,
      "repeat_rate": 0.51
    },
    {
      "price_cu": 8.5,
      "vouchers_used": 5,
      "tier_buyers": 20000,
      "buyers": 2000,
      "share": 0.1,
      "repeat_buyers": 1120,
      "repeat_rate": 0.56
    },
    {
      "price_cu": 8.5,
      "vouchers_used": 6,
      "tier_buyers": 20000,
      "buyers": 1200,
      "share": 0.06,
      "repeat_buyers": 720,
      "repeat_rate": 0.6
    }
  ],
  "monthly": [
    {
      "month": "May",
      "package_purchases": 210000,
      "platform_subsidy_cu": 840000,
      "estimated_extra_gmv_cu": 21000000,
      "estimated_gmv_per_subsidy_cu": 25.0
    },
    {
      "month": "June",
      "package_purchases": 420000,
      "platform_subsidy_cu": 1800000,
      "estimated_extra_gmv_cu": 54000000,
      "estimated_gmv_per_subsidy_cu": 30.0
    },
    {
      "month": "July",
      "package_purchases": 750000,
      "platform_subsidy_cu": 4200000,
      "estimated_extra_gmv_cu": 63000000,
      "estimated_gmv_per_subsidy_cu": 15.0
    },
    {
      "month": "August",
      "package_purchases": 700000,
      "platform_subsidy_cu": 3500000,
      "estimated_extra_gmv_cu": 77000000,
      "estimated_gmv_per_subsidy_cu": 22.0
    },
    {
      "month": "September",
      "package_purchases": 680000,
      "platform_subsidy_cu": 3200000,
      "estimated_extra_gmv_cu": 80000000,
      "estimated_gmv_per_subsidy_cu": 25.0
    }
  ]
}
